Firms’ expectations and uncertainty during COVID-19: Evidenc…

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2026
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  • DOI 10.1016/j.jebo.2026.107716
  • OpenAlex ID W7201854699
  • Type Article
  • Language EN
  • Published 07 Aug 2026
  • Volume 249
  • Pages 107716
  • Source Journal of Economic Behavior & Organizat…
  • Publisher Elsevier BV
  • Countries 1
  • Institutions 1
  • Added 08 Aug 2026
  • Updated 29 Oct 2026
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Firms’ expectations and uncertainty during COVID-19: Evidence from Italian firms

Article 2026 EN Hybrid

This paper investigates how the COVID-19 pandemic affected Italian firms’ expectations regarding future growth and prices, and the link between firm-level uncertainty and forecast errors. Using firm-level panel data from the Bank of Italy’s INVIND survey, we document that growth-expectation formation is stable across nearly three decades, including the COVID-19 pandemic, and that growth forecasts…

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UN Sustainable Development Goals
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Authors & Affiliations
4 authors
#AuthorInstitutionsORCID
1 Agar Brugiavini Ca' Foscari University of Veni… (IT)
2 Roberto Casarin Ca' Foscari University of Veni… (IT)
3 Michele Costola Corresponding Ca' Foscari University of Veni… (IT)
4 Claudia Crivellenti Ca' Foscari University of Veni… (IT)

Data: OpenAlex