Direction of interest rate movements and interest rate trends of mexican treasury securities

This empirical study focuses on the short-term movements of the Mexican yield curve. Consistent with the fixed-income literature one shows that three factors (level, steepness, and curvature) explain shocks on the short-term Mexican yield curve. Futhermore, using a principal component analysis, one provides i) a three-factor model to forecast the direction (up or down) of Treasury bills interest r…